Citi Field is the heart of baseball on Sundays. He will be the only one to reach Game 3 after three wild-card series on Saturday, pitting the New York Mets against the San Diego Padres. New York will enter the series with Home Field Advantage as the top seed, and the Mets will bring in Chris Bassitt for the season. San Diego looks to move forward behind Joe Musgrove and a capable lineup.
First pitch is at 7:07 PM ET. The Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as a -135 favorite ($135 risk to win $100) on the money line, but the latest Padres vs. Mets odds are over/under or 100% the total they think Vegas will score. The number of runs is 6.5. Before making your Mets vs. Padres picks, you should check out MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer models.
The SportsLine projection model simulated every MLB game 10,000 times and went into the final week of the regular season with an 18-8 run on the highest-rated Moneyline MLB pick, returning nearly $700 to a $100 player. It’s the same model that saw him take the 2021 Atlanta Braves to a 10-1 record, and he’s one of his three best bets to win it all last season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge profits.
The model now has its sights set on the Mets vs. Padres, anchoring picks and MLB predictions. Visit SportsLine today to see our model recommendations. Here are the Padres vs. Mets MLB odds and betting lines:
- Mets vs. Padres moneyline: New York -135, San Diego +125
- Mets vs. Padres Over/Under: 6.5 runs
- Mets vs. Padres run line: New York -1.5 (+162)
- NYM: The Mets are 55-28 at home this season.
- SD: The Padres are 46-37 in road games this season.
- Mets vs. Padres Picks: Here’s Our Picks
Featured game | | New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres
Reasons to support the Padres
The Padres feel comfortable with Musgrove on the mound. The 2022 All-Star produced a 2.93 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 30 starts, holding opponents to .667 OPS in the process. finished, allowing only one run in the final 22 innings. With Musgrove out, the Padres also have a strong bullpen contingent, with him finishing third in the National League and outperforming relief pitcher turnovers.
With the Padres relief pitchers posting a combined 3.83 ERA and 45.1% ground ball percentage this season, San Diego can also take solace in quality offense. The Padres ranked him among the top five in the NL in doubles, bases, strikeout avoidance, and on-base percentage, and San Diego also had success against Mets starter Chris his bassitt. In his two starts this season, Basitt has allowed nine earned runs in 10.1 innings against the Padres.
Reasons for supporting the Mets
New York is a well-rounded and talented team, as evidenced by the team’s 101-win performance in the regular season. On the pitching side, the Mets will rely on Chris, who posted a 3.42 ERA in 2022, on his bassit’s excellent starting option. Basit’s ERA for the last five seasons has been his 3.29, and this season his OPS is .656.
The Padres are ranked in the bottom five in the National League in home run and slugging percentage, and Bassit is backed by a sturdy bullpen. The New York reliever has a combined 3.55 ERA this season, and the Mets have one of the best late game options in the sport in Edwin Diaz. In 2022, he had a 1.31 ERA in 62 innings and he had a whopping 118 strikeouts. With a productive offense that leads the league in hits, batting average, and strikeout avoidance percentage, the Mets have a hard time staying out, especially at home.
How to make a Mets vs Padres pick
SportsLine’s model leans toward total, predicting a total of 8.1 runs. I also say that one side of the moneyline is worth everything. MLB picks for this model are available exclusively at SportsLine.
So who will win the Mets vs Padres? Find out everything from the models that crushed MLB’s picks.
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