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Best bets of the NHL weekend: Lightning to Strike vs. Panthers

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Friday will be pretty quiet in the NHL, but there are still 16 games left to look forward to over the next few nights.

Let’s take a look at some teams that stand out.

Lightning (-110) @ Panthers (-110)
October 21st at 7:30pm EST

Lightning is off to a disappointing 1-3-0 start, but I don’t think there’s anything to worry about. They rank fifth in shot share with 5-for-5, sandwiched between Flames and Avalanche. 8th in High Danger Chance Share.

Tampa Bay creates a lot of chances, but it doesn’t finish. Believe it or not, the Lightning, who a season ago ranked him third in shooting percentage with a 5-for-5 shooting percentage, has fallen to last in conversion percentage across four games.

They’ve lost some talent up front, most notably Ondrej Palat and Anthony Cirelli out through injury, but there’s still reason to hope for a positive setback sooner or later.

Lightning still has Stephen Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov, Braden Point, and more.

Bolt expects to make more than his fair share against the Panthers on Friday night.

Florida ranks 25th in risky chances per 60 minutes, 5-5. The team also spent more time shorthanded than any other team in the league (and also lacked discipline last season). This becomes a problem when countering Tampa Bay’s lethal power play.

Needless to say, the Panthers are seriously short on the back end, with Mackenzie Wieger facing the Calgary Flames and Aaron Ekblad out for some time with an injury. They don’t have horses to slow down the Tampa star.

Lighting with a better 5v5 profile, compelling powerplay matchups, and an edge between pipes is worth helping.

Bed: Lightning (-110)

Stars (TBD) @ Canadiens (TBD)
October 22nd at 7pm EST

The Canadiens have won three of their first five games behind star forward duo Cole Corfield and Nick Suzuki, including wins over the Maple Leafs and Penguins.

The Canadiens deserve credit for scoring timely goals and beating a long-time playoff team, but things aren’t great inside.

The Habs went 5-5 and controlled only 44.89% of their expected goal share, slightly ahead of the tanking Blackhawks team.

Isolating high-risk opportunities makes Montreal even worse. Their share is 36%, ahead of only coyotes and ducks.

Stars look much better across the board. They played their opponents evenly in terms of high-risk chances while outperforming their expected goal share.

Dallas’ top line remains perilous, but newcomers like Mason Marchment (6 points in 4 games) and Nils Lundqvist (still yet to score in 54 minutes in a 5-5 match) stepped in. and immediately scored. impact.

Jake Ettinger also picked up where he left off after April’s Dynamite playoff series, leading the NHL in more-than-expected goals early on.

There’s a lot to like about this Stars team. I hope they bounce back from their overtime loss and beat the Canadiens team they played overhead.

Bed: Hoshi -145 (Lookahead Line)

Todd Cordell is theScore’s Sports Betting Writer. follow him on twitter @ToddCordell.