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Stars vs. Maple Leafs (October 20)

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Stars vs. Maple Leafs odds

star odds +145
Maple Leafs odds -175
over/under 6.5 (-115/-105)
time 7:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time
tv set SNO
Odds via Caesars. Get the latest NHL odds here.

The Dallas Stars have a very convincing 4-1 victory over the Winnipeg Jets on Monday. They got off to an incredible 3-0 start to his season.

If you’re a hockey fan, you don’t need to explain what the Toronto Maple Leafs did in their last game. But if not, they were the overwhelming favorites against Arizona, home to the Building where he lost 4–2.

Not encouraging at all for a team with high expectations.

Will the Leafs handle well after a disappointing loss, or will the stars shine on the ‘6’ and stay hot?

A lot of sparkle for the Dallas Stars this season

Dallas has a pretty deep roster, but the Stars needed better production from some players over the past few years.

Mason Marchment is off to a great start to the year with his new team, as are studs like Lupe Hintz, Jason Robertson and even Tyler Seguin. Seguin and captain Jamie Benn have been widely derided for being Dallas’ highest-paid players, but they haven’t kept their big contracts in years.

I really like what I see from the stars with even intensity. They managed to generate an offense at a very solid pace with his 53.87 xGF% expected goal percentage, and the defense held up to the end to deliver goaltending quality saves.

The special team clicked on every cylinder and connected to the power play in 3 out of 10 attempts. Penalty His kills were incredible right from the start, packing the advantage of the opposing man 93% of the time.

Jake Ettinger made a name for himself in hockey last year with a spectacular playoff run. I fully expect the third-year Netminder to come to the crease in his fourth straight start. So far, Ettinger has allowed him only 3 goals on 87 shots. That adds up to .966 SV%, but he also has a league-leading +3.8 GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected).

The depth of the Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto is probably one of the deeper teams in the league this year. All players have a wealth of talent to score his 70s and above.

Captain Jon Tavares is the team’s top scorer, Ouston Matthews is probably the best goalscorer in the league, and Mitch Marner and William Nylander are constant threats to score points.

Whenever the Leafs have the puck, they have plagued opponents’ defenses. The record isn’t exactly encouraging to most of his fans, but it does produce good offense. Their xGF% was 52.27, creating the third riskiest chance.

Last season they had the deadliest power play in the league. It’s still not exactly the same this year, but they only scored man advantage on 3 of their 14 tries.

For years, the Leafs’ goalkeeping situation has been a problem. Erik Kallgren struggled against his Arizona. This may be the time for Ilya Samsonov to grab the bull’s horns and claim the number one spot. He was flashing in Washington, so I thought it was a great sign in the offseason. In two starts, the Russian netminder took the net in his two wins over Toronto, posting .926 SV% and +1.1 GSAx.

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Pick

Over/under 6.5, you can certainly see this reaching over.

Oettinger has proven himself to be a dynamic netminder, but it looks like Toronto is getting pretty close to him. Even on the best vacation days, this game tells us that Ettinger doesn’t have the same luck he had in his first three games. Matthews hasn’t had much luck in scoring lately, and Dallas tends to give up some high-risk chances here and there.

Star also has a premium scorer, and with Leaf’s goaltending question and the fact that he allows the 31st most dangerous chance, it’s a good recipe for the pack to pass. I really think there is

Choose: 6.5 or more (-115)

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